International Conference «Mathematical and Information Technologies, MIT-2016»
Baranovskiy N.V. Yankovich E.P.GIS-Technologies and Mathematical Simulation as Tools for Lightning-Caused Forest Fire Danger PredictionReporter: Baranovskiy N.V.
Deterministic-probabilistic technique of the forest fires forecast taking into account storm activity [1-3] and system of the lightning-caused fire danger forecast on satellite data [4] are improved. Functionality of such systems can be expanded by means of mathematical model of tree ignition by cloud-to-ground lightning discharge [5]. Various breeds of trees differ under many characteristics, including thermophysical and structural. It is known, that distinctions between coniferous and deciduous trees are most essential [6]. Warming up of a tree trunk process before ignition by cloud-to-ground lightning discharge is described mathematically by system of the non-stationary differential equations. The given program tool is prepared for inclusion in structure of geoinformation system for an estimation of the forest fire danger created on the basis of ArcGIS software.
Acknowledgement
References To reports list |